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Locksley — Prediction Systems

Price every market.
Bet the wrong ones.

Locksley deploys autonomous agents that price 1,500+ prediction markets against the sharpest bookmakers on earth — then bet only where the crowd is measurably wrong. No tips. No gut feel. Arithmetic, executed around the clock.

NBA · BOS MLmkt 66¢edge −3.6PASS/
FED CUT MARmkt 34¢edge +8.6BUY YES/
UCL · RMA ADVmkt 69¢edge +2.0PASS/
BTC > 150K FEBmkt 26¢edge −7.8BUY NO/
NFL · KC −3.5mkt 51¢edge +4.8BUY YES/
CS2 · NAVI MLmkt 46¢edge +1.1PASS/
ETH > 8K MARmkt 15¢edge −5.6BUY NO/
NHL · TOR MLmkt 53¢edge +5.9BUY YES/
EPL · ARS TOP4mkt 68¢edge +6.2BUY YES/
UFC · MAK MLmkt 62¢edge +4.1BUY YES/
MLB · LAD MLmkt 60¢edge −2.6PASS/
GOP NOM 2028mkt 41¢edge −8.0BUY NO/
SOL > 400 JUNmkt 22¢edge +6.5BUY YES/
WC · BRA WINmkt 20¢edge +1.7PASS/
LOL · T1 MLmkt 55¢edge +6.9BUY YES/
OSCARS · BEST PICmkt 49¢edge −5.0BUY NO/
NBA · BOS MLmkt 66¢edge −3.6PASS/
FED CUT MARmkt 34¢edge +8.6BUY YES/
UCL · RMA ADVmkt 69¢edge +2.0PASS/
BTC > 150K FEBmkt 26¢edge −7.8BUY NO/
NFL · KC −3.5mkt 51¢edge +4.8BUY YES/
CS2 · NAVI MLmkt 46¢edge +1.1PASS/
ETH > 8K MARmkt 15¢edge −5.6BUY NO/
NHL · TOR MLmkt 53¢edge +5.9BUY YES/
EPL · ARS TOP4mkt 68¢edge +6.2BUY YES/
UFC · MAK MLmkt 62¢edge +4.1BUY YES/
MLB · LAD MLmkt 60¢edge −2.6PASS/
GOP NOM 2028mkt 41¢edge −8.0BUY NO/
SOL > 400 JUNmkt 22¢edge +6.5BUY YES/
WC · BRA WINmkt 20¢edge +1.7PASS/
LOL · T1 MLmkt 55¢edge +6.9BUY YES/
OSCARS · BEST PICmkt 49¢edge −5.0BUY NO/

One market, priced

Live example · illustrative
Will the Fed cut rates in March?
$1,204,318 vol · resolves Mar 19 · source: CME + 6 books
1H1DALL
market
34¢
DecJanFebMar
Agent pricing
Book consensus
40.1¢
De-vigged fair value
42.6¢
Market price
34.0¢
Edge
+8.6
Threshold
±4.0
BUY YES @ 34¢ · $220

Sized by edge and variance. Logged with the exact prices that justified it.

The house edge,
reverse-engineered.

001INGEST

Read the sharpest lines on earth

Every market is matched to the live prices of professional bookmakers — the closest thing markets have to ground truth. Sports, crypto, esports, politics: if a sharp book prices it, the agent reads it.

002PRICE

Strip the vig. Find fair value.

Bookmaker prices carry a built-in margin. The agent removes it, reconciles disagreement between books, and computes a single de-vigged fair probability for every outcome — updated continuously.

003STRIKE

Bet only the measurable mispricing

Fair value is compared against the prediction market's price. Inside the threshold: pass. Outside it: the agent sizes a position built to survive variance, places it, and logs the reasoning.

1,500+ markets priced24/7 · no discretionNon-custodial walletsFee on profit only

A day at the desk

Every decision logged · illustrative
MarketFairPriceEdgeDecision
NBA · BOS ML62.4¢66¢−3.6PASS
FED CUT MAR42.6¢34¢+8.6BUY YES
UCL · RMA ADV71.0¢69¢+2.0PASS
BTC > 150K FEB18.2¢26¢−7.8BUY NO
NFL · KC −3.555.8¢51¢+4.8BUY YES
CS2 · NAVI ML47.1¢46¢+1.1PASS
ETH > 8K MAR9.4¢15¢−5.6BUY NO
NHL · TOR ML58.9¢53¢+5.9BUY YES
EPL · ARS TOP474.2¢68¢+6.2BUY YES
UFC · MAK ML66.1¢62¢+4.1BUY YES
MLB · LAD ML57.4¢60¢−2.6PASS
GOP NOM 202833.0¢41¢−8.0BUY NO
SOL > 400 JUN28.5¢22¢+6.5BUY YES
WC · BRA WIN21.7¢20¢+1.7PASS
LOL · T1 ML61.9¢55¢+6.9BUY YES
OSCARS · BEST PIC44.0¢49¢−5.0BUY NO

Most rows end in PASS. That is the strategy — an agent that refuses 9 in 10 markets is the only kind worth funding. Positions are funded with SOL; agents bet real money and can lose it.

The token · Robinhood Chain

Hold LOCK.
Pay less. See more.

LOCK is deployed on Robinhood Chain; balances are verified on-chain — nothing to stake, nothing to lock up. Holding reduces the performance fee on your Solana agents, opens the research terminal, and qualifies your wallet for the weekly revenue-share pool.

TierHoldingFee on profit
Standard10%
Holder≥ 0.2% supply7%
Whale≥ 0.5% supply4%

Fine print, up front

01What is Locksley?+

A desk of autonomous agents for prediction markets. Your agent prices every market against professional bookmaker consensus and takes a position only when the market's price is measurably wrong — no tips, no gut feel, no discretion.

02Who holds the funds?+

You do. Each agent runs from a dedicated wallet you fund, capped at the budget you set. Keys are encrypted at rest, withdrawals go only to your connected wallet, and you can halt the agent at any moment.

03What does it cost?+

A share of net profit, settled as positions resolve. No deposit fee, no subscription. Flat or down, you pay nothing. Holding LOCK reduces the rate.

04Do I have to fund with SOL?+

No. Pay in almost anything — including ETH on Robinhood Chain — via Relay, an audited crosschain router and official Robinhood Chain bridge partner. The fund panel hands the agent's address to Relay as a locked destination; it swaps whatever you send (ETH/USDC from Robinhood Chain, Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum and more) and delivers SOL straight to the agent. Already on Solana? Jupiter swaps any token to SOL in one step. Locksley never runs a bridge of its own.

05Why does the edge exist?+

Prediction markets are priced by crowds; crowds carry opinion, attention, and bias. Bookmakers price the same events with their livelihoods on the line. The gap between those two prices is persistent, measurable — and most people can't watch 1,500 markets at once. Software can.

06What is LOCK?+

The platform token, deployed on Robinhood Chain. Verified on-chain balances reduce performance fees, unlock the research terminal, and qualify for the weekly revenue-share pool. Nothing to stake, nothing to lock up — and the agents themselves run on Solana, independent of the token.

The desk is open

The crowd has opinions.
Bring arithmetic.